兔主席/tuzhuxi 20250206 以下為本號(hào)發(fā)布在外網(wǎng)的內(nèi)容，目標(biāo)為美國(guó)/國(guó)外受眾，號(hào)召他們覺醒。翻譯成中文供參考。 【中文翻譯正文開始】 特朗普提出接管加沙地帶并保持“長(zhǎng)期所有權(quán)”的提議—— 對(duì)于那些支持特朗普的美國(guó)人來(lái)說，這個(gè)想法的更重大意義并不在于其可行性，也不在于它對(duì)中東和平進(jìn)程的影響。 對(duì)于那些志向高遠(yuǎn)、目光遠(yuǎn)大的人來(lái)說，這一想法的意義也不在于它對(duì)戰(zhàn)后國(guó)際秩序、美國(guó)的全球形象、其合作伙伴與聯(lián)盟，以及美國(guó)在該地區(qū)和全球的地緣政治地位的影響。 這個(gè)事情實(shí)際上也不能反映特朗普的認(rèn)知或能力——盡管他顯然缺乏對(duì)中東做出合理判斷所必需的知識(shí)（雖然他聲稱對(duì)此事思考了“數(shù)月”之久）。 關(guān)鍵在于，特朗普并不是“讓美國(guó)再次偉大”（MAGA）的支持者們一直在等待的救世主。 一旦他公布了對(duì)加沙和以色列問題的解決方案，這一點(diǎn)就再明顯不過了。 美國(guó)保守派，尤其是“讓美國(guó)再次偉大”運(yùn)動(dòng)的參與者，必須承認(rèn)一個(gè)基本事實(shí)：MAGA運(yùn)動(dòng)的支持者們并非天生、本能或固有地對(duì)猶太人的問題感興趣。他們關(guān)心的是“美國(guó)優(yōu)先”。他們不想卷入無(wú)關(guān)的外交事務(wù)；他們不想浪費(fèi)美國(guó)的資源，他們不想犧牲年輕美國(guó)人的生命；他們關(guān)注的是關(guān)乎美國(guó)人生計(jì)的廣泛國(guó)內(nèi)問題。政治家、專家和學(xué)者把他們?cè)V求稱為“孤立主義”。 對(duì)于猶太人，MAGA運(yùn)動(dòng)的支持者們并沒有天生的好感——無(wú)論是出于宗教原因，還是對(duì)政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)或社會(huì)地位的考量——這與歷史上的反猶主義并沒有太大區(qū)別。有些人甚至仍然受到20世紀(jì)初歐洲種族主義的影響。盡管這在某種程度上是一個(gè)政治禁忌（即使對(duì)右翼而言也是如此），但他們對(duì)圍繞在特朗普身邊的猶太精英并沒有特別的熱情。他們不歡迎用“以色列優(yōu)先”或“猶太人優(yōu)先”取代“美國(guó)優(yōu)先”，更不歡迎用“讓加沙再次偉大”取代“讓美國(guó)再次偉大”。 自馬斯克接管以來(lái)，X平臺(tái)已向更右翼的立場(chǎng)轉(zhuǎn)變。這種轉(zhuǎn)變可能真實(shí)地反映了許多普通美國(guó)人的價(jià)值觀和政治判斷——這些觀點(diǎn)在之前由自由派主導(dǎo)的“審查”或社區(qū)政策下受到了壓制。 然而，從事實(shí)來(lái)看，人們必須認(rèn)識(shí)到，一個(gè)越來(lái)越被右翼、保守派和MAGA運(yùn)動(dòng)的聲音占據(jù)和主導(dǎo)的社交媒體平臺(tái)，也充斥著反猶和反以色列的言論。 特朗普占領(lǐng)加沙的想法既缺乏依據(jù)，又考慮欠妥： ——這對(duì)團(tuán)結(jié)阿拉伯國(guó)家毫無(wú)作用。相反，它會(huì)破壞美國(guó)與這些國(guó)家之間，以及以色列與所有阿拉伯國(guó)家（乃至穆斯林國(guó)家）之間的關(guān)系； ——這肯定會(huì)把它們推向美國(guó)的“對(duì)立國(guó)家”。推向更廣泛的“全球南方”國(guó)家，以及更加“成熟”和“平衡”的歐洲大陸國(guó)家； ——按照任何標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，迫使巴勒斯坦人離開家園都等同于種族清洗，這是一種道德犯罪，特朗普永遠(yuǎn)也不會(huì)因?yàn)檫@個(gè)獲得他渴望的諾貝爾獎(jiǎng)； ——占領(lǐng)加沙無(wú)異于又一場(chǎng)伊拉克戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)。巴勒斯坦人和阿拉伯人很可能發(fā)動(dòng)“人民戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)”或游擊戰(zhàn)，讓占領(lǐng)的美國(guó)人付出沉重的血肉代價(jià)。這將是越南戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)和伊拉克戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)的重演，而且只會(huì)更糟。這是MAGA運(yùn)動(dòng)的支持者們最不希望看到的。在當(dāng)今的輿論環(huán)境下，華盛頓沒有人敢提出這樣的想法——這是特朗普總愛談?wù)摰模ㄟ`背）常識(shí)的事。 ——美國(guó)會(huì)招致伊斯蘭國(guó)家的憤怒。任何新出現(xiàn)的恐怖主義活動(dòng)都會(huì)針對(duì)美國(guó)及其公民，使美國(guó)面臨巨大的安全風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。（美國(guó)人，請(qǐng)記住“9·11”襲擊！） ——以色列將是最大的受益者——等待美國(guó)幫助消滅哈馬斯，最終美國(guó)撤軍，讓以色列控制整個(gè)加沙。內(nèi)塔尼亞胡已經(jīng)準(zhǔn)備好向他的極右翼盟友銷售這一想法。 ——重建加沙將耗盡美國(guó)大量資源，而受益的只有少數(shù)與政府關(guān)系良好的公司和投資者（其中許多可能有猶太人資金支持）。這與普通美國(guó)人，尤其是MAGA運(yùn)動(dòng)的支持者們幾乎沒有關(guān)系；相反，買單的將是納稅人。 ——特朗普的首要考慮似乎只在于他自己的贊助者、盟友和財(cái)務(wù)支持者，其中許多（甚至可以說大多數(shù)）是保守派/右翼猶太大亨（這不是陰謀論，而是公開信息。請(qǐng)谷歌“特朗普的主要捐贈(zèng)人”） 所有這些都清楚地表明，對(duì)特朗普來(lái)說，“讓美國(guó)再次偉大”和“美國(guó)優(yōu)先”的口號(hào)只不過是機(jī)會(huì)主義的政治口號(hào)。他只是用這些吸引人的標(biāo)語(yǔ)做幌子，來(lái)吸引那些在現(xiàn)有美國(guó)體制下別無(wú)選擇的普通美國(guó)人。作為一個(gè)含著金湯匙出生的人，他真正的直覺、意圖、抱負(fù)和使命在別處。 誠(chéng)然，特朗普可能幫助“讓美國(guó)再次偉大”運(yùn)動(dòng)開創(chuàng)屬于它的時(shí)代和事業(yè)。但他不是“讓美國(guó)再次偉大”運(yùn)動(dòng)的救世主，人們應(yīng)該希望他不要徹底背叛這項(xiàng)事業(yè)。 【中文翻譯正文結(jié)束】 英文原文: Trump and Gaza: a Betrayal of MAGA Trump’s proposal to take over and maintain “l(fā)ong-term ownership” over Gaza For those Americans who support Trump, the significance of this idea isn’t about its feasibility, or its impact on the Middle East peace process. For those who aspire more and think big, it isn’t about its effects on the post-war international order, America’s global image, its partners and alliances, or its geopolitical standing in the region and the globe. Nor is it a reflection of Trump’s understanding or capability—he obviously lacks the necessary knowledge of the Middle East to make a sound judgment (despite his claim of thinking over about this for “months”). The key point is that Trump is NOT the savior that MAGA supporters have been waiting for. This was made abundantly clear once he revealed his proposed solution for Gaza and Israel. A basic reality that American conservatives—especially within the MAGA movement—must acknowledge is that the MAGA Base isn’t naturally, instinctively and inherently interested in Jewish issues. They care about “America First”. They do NOT want to get entangled in unrelated foreign affairs, to waste American resources, or to sacrifice (young) American lives; they’re focused on the extensive host of domestic issues truly matter to Amercian citizens—what politicians, pundits and scholars call “isolationism. Re the Jewish people, there is no innate fondness among the MAGA base - whether due to theological reasons, or reflections on political, economic, or social status - not much different from the historical antisemitism. Some are even still influenced by early 20th-century European racism. Albeit somehow a political taboo or no-go-zone (even for the Right) , they aren’t particularly enthusiastic about the Jewish elites surrounding Trump. They do not welcome the replacement of “America First” with “Israel First” or “Jewish First”, or “Make America Great Again” with “Make Gaza Great Again”. Since Musk took over, the X platform has shifted toward a more right-wing stance. This shift may genuinely reflect the values and political judgments of many ordinary Americans—views that were suppressed under the previously liberal-dominated “censorship”, or community policies. However, looking at the fact, one must recognize that a social media platform increasingly populated and dominated by right-wing, conservative, and MAGA voices is also rife with anti-Semitic and anti-Israel rhetoric. Trump’s idea of seizing Gaza is ill-informed and ill-conceived: — It will do nothing to unite Arab (and Muslim） nations. On the contrary, it will damage relationships—between the U.S. and these countries, as well as between Israel and all of them — It will certainly push them towards Russia, China, the broader Global South, and the more sophisticated and balanced Continental Europe. — Forcing Palestinians from their homeland amounts to ethnic cleansing, by any standard—a moral crime for which Trump will never win a Nobel Prize (which he aspires to) — Occupation would be tantamount to another Iraq War. Palestinians and Arabs are likely to launch a “people’s war” or guerrilla warfare, exacting a heavy toll in blood and flesh from the occupying Americans. This would be a replay of the Vietnam and Iraq wars, and only worse. It is the LAST thing the MAGA base want. Nobody in Washington DC will dare to advance this idea in today’s shared sensibilities. It is part of the COMMON SENSE that Trump is too willing to talk about. — The U.S. would incur the wrath of Islamic nations. Any emerging terrorism would be directed at America and its citizens, placing the nation at significant security risk. (Americans, Recall 9/11 Attacks, please!) — Israel stands to benefit the most—waiting for the U.S. to help eradicate Hamas, only to have America eventually withdraw, leaving Israel in control of all of Gaza. Netanyahu is already preparing to promote this idea to his far-right allies. — Rebuilding Gaza would drain vast American resources, with benefits accruing only to a few government-friendly companies and investors (many of which may be backed by Jewish capital). There is little connection to ordinary Americans, especially the MAGA base; instead, it is taxpayers who would foot the bill. — Trump’s priorities seem to lie solely with his own benefactors, allies, and financial backers, many (or indeed) of whom conservative/right-wing Jewish tycoons (not conspiracy theories, but based on public information. please googe Trump's maga donors) All of this clearly demonstrates that for Trump,“Make America Great Again”and “America First” slogans are nothing more than opportunistic political catchphrases. He uses these attractive terms only as a fa?ade, to attract ordinary Americans who otherwise have no choice against the Establishment. As someone who was born with a silver spoon, he’s true intuitions, intentions and aspirations and mission lie elsewhere. Admittedly, Trump might help MAGA carve out its own era and enterprise. But he is NOT the Messiah for the MAGA movement, and people should hope that he does not completely betray the cause. 【如您覺得本文不錯(cuò)，歡迎點(diǎn)贊打賞以資鼓勵(lì)（1元即可）！】 歡迎加入「兔主席的寶藏」，這是兔主席/tuzhuxi和朋友們的精華內(nèi)容分享圈。共同學(xué)習(xí)，共同成長(zhǎng)，共同進(jìn)步！ 定位：有國(guó)際視野、理性思考的愛國(guó)主義者 領(lǐng)域：熱點(diǎn)、國(guó)際、歷史、人文 風(fēng)格：理性、邏輯、簡(jiǎn)單、通透 持續(xù)：堅(jiān)持20年創(chuàng)作（持續(xù)更新有保障） 內(nèi)容：國(guó)際臻選（整理注釋評(píng)論、全網(wǎng)稀缺高質(zhì)量?jī)?nèi)容）/快評(píng)（觀察、視角、心得、影書評(píng)、圖片）
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